Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ

Skip to main content

Food systems in Southern Africa : Drivers of change and opportunities for influence

none
This briefing investigates the ¡®driving forces¡¯ or ¡®trends¡¯ shaping southern African food systems.

The analysis is intended to raise awareness of the potential to shape future outcomes in this complex multi-faceted and interrelated systems and argues that the Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ (Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ) can play a major role as a direct stakeholder and enabler of partnerships in the region. Based on this analysis, plausible scenarios for Southern African food systems will be constructed to enable Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ to assess how the organisation might influence these scenarios over the coming decade. The foresight gained from a scenario process helps to inform necessary action. In particular, the scenarios help in identifying leverage points based on Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ¡¯s key mandate. The analysis of ¡®driving forces¡¯ helps determine certain elements of Southern Africa¡¯s future that are difficult to predict with complete certainty. Understanding what these are is important because it increases the sense of urgency to act; an appropriate response can decrease the impact of these uncertain development trajectories. A reflection of southern African food systems over past few decades reveals that the way these systems have unfolded has been highly non-linear, with random, unpredictable events affecting it. Looking ahead, this uncertainty seems more acute. As outlined in this report, the various ¡®driving forces¡¯ in these food systems are co-dependent (across space, time and sectors) and create fertile ground for a large combination of potential shocks and stressors, places they could happen and pathways they could propagate through to create a high impact. As Âé¶¹ÊÓÆµ, the challenge and opportunity is to make sense of this uncertainty is a systematic way so as to adapt to challenges and to act sooner rather than later.